Sunday, February 15, 2026

PhysicsWallah Share Price Crashes to All-Time Low ₹96.65: What's Next for Investors?

PhysicsWallah's stock just hit rock bottom at ₹96.65. Ouch. That's a new all-time low, and it's got retail investors like us scratching our heads.

Why the Big Drop?

Post-IPO profit-taking kicked it off. The stock debuted strong in November 2025 at around ₹143, up 31% from the ₹109 issue price. But sellers jumped in quick, wiping out gains amid market jitters and edtech worries. Volatility spiked—think 44% swings on bad days. Broader caution on new listings didn't help. Now at lows near ₹95-107, it's down from peaks of ₹162.

Key Financial Snapshot:

Market cap sits at about ₹30,693 crore. P/E ratio? A whopping negative -226, way below the industry average of 36-37—shows losses eating earnings. Debt to equity is low at 0-0.69, no big debt pile (₹0 Cr total), which is a plus. Cash flow details are thin, but ROE hovers at 0% to -15.5%, ROCE negative at -5.25%. Dividend yield? Zero.
Profit growth YoY? Sales up a solid 52%, but bottom line struggles—EPS negative at -0.47 to -0.85. Like a student acing exams but flunking the fee payment, growth's there, profitability lags.

Alakh Pandey started it all in 2016 with a YouTube channel from Allahabad—physics lessons for JEE/NEET kids, just ₹30k budget. Views exploded. In 2020, he teamed with Prateek Maheshwari for the app. Unicorn by 2022 ($1.1B val), hit $2.8B in 2024 funding. IPO in Nov 2025 made it public, first pure edtech unicorn to list.

How They Make Money?

Freemium magic online: free YouTube vids hook you, then paid app courses for JEE, NEET, CBSE—live classes, tests, doubts via chatbot. Offline? PW Vidyapeeth centers expanding fast (70 new yearly). Affordable fees beat rivals. Acquisitions boost reach. Hybrid model rules.

Price Predictions Ahead?

Short-term shaky, but bulls eye rebound. 2026: ₹220-260. 2030? Some say ₹300-400 range if edtech booms. By 2035-2040, optimistic calls hit ₹3,000-3,450—wild growth needed, though. Doubt it without profits turning positive. Like betting on a startup kid becoming a millionaire athlete—possible, risky.


Saturday, February 14, 2026

Tata Technologies Hits 52-Week Low at ₹575: Buy Opportunity or Further Fall?

Tata Technologies just crashed to its 52-week low of ₹575 on NSE recently. Ouch, right? From a high of ₹797, that's a rough 28% drop, and shares are hovering around ₹594-₹606 now. Makes you wonder if it's time to scoop some up cheap or if more pain's coming.

Why the Big Dip?

Blame it on shaky auto sector winds and a nasty quarterly loss. That big EV project with VinFast wrapped up, so revenues dipped as billing slowed. US and Europe regs on EVs got messy too, hitting client R&D spends. Then Q4 2025 brought a net loss of ₹0.63 Cr—yikes, after decent profits before. Stock's down 17% in a year while Sensex climbed 10%. Feels like the market's spooked.

Quick Financial Snapshot:

Market cap sits at ₹24,255 Cr. P/E ratio? A steep 43.7—higher than industry avg of 22-42, so pricey on earnings. ROE shines at 59.8%, ROCE 71.5%—super efficient with shareholder cash. Debt? Zero! Debt-to-equity is 0, no loans dragging 'em down. Dividend yield's nice at 1.96% on ₹11.7 payout. Cash flow looks steady from ops, profit up 23.5% YoY last FY to ₹849 Cr, but sales growth lagged at 10.7%. Solid balance sheet, but growth hiccups hurt.

Tata Group's no newbie—started by Jamsetji Tata in 1868 with trading. Tata Technologies spun off in 1989, listed last year. Part of the family empire, focused on engineering smarts.

What They Do?

They help big autos and aerospace dream up products. Think design, digital twins, EV platforms like eVMP 2.0. Outsourced engineering, IT for factories, even training workers. Clients cut time-to-market, go green. Business model's simple: fix client headaches in product lifecycle. Heavy on autos, but eyeing aerospace growth.

Price Outlook—Guesswork Time:

Short-term? More wobbles if auto slumps drag. But zero debt and Tata backing scream resilience—like that uncle who bounces back from setbacks. Analysts eye ₹986 by end-2026 if EV rebounds. 2030? ₹1,500-1,700 on digital boom. Stretch to 2035-2040? Wild guess, but if they nail AI manufacturing, could double from there—say ₹3,000+ by 2035, ₹5,000 by 2040. Pure optimism, though; markets love surprises. Watch Q1 results.

Friday, February 13, 2026

Ola Electric 52-Week Low Breakdown: Sell-Off Signals or Rebound Opportunity?

Why the Big Drop?
Ola Electric's slide feels brutal. Shares tanked over 5% recently, down 52% in a year, hitting ₹30.41 low. Blame service headaches—long waits for fixes, spare parts mess since scooter boom in 2023. Founder Bhavish Aggarwal's jumping in, launching app bookings for parts. But sales dipped, Q3 FY26 revenue at ₹470 crore, deliveries just 32k units. Weak demand? Or EV slowdown?

Numbers scream caution. Market cap's shrunk to ₹13,000-13,600 crore. P/E? Negative at -5.7 to -6.09—losses, not profits. Industry P/E for two-wheelers sits positive around 43, way healthier. Cash flow? Burning bad—operating cash outflow ₹2,391 crore last year. Debt around ₹566 crore, but they've cut some. Dividend yield? Zero, nada. Debt-to-equity manageable, ROE a ugly -52% to -108%. Profit growth YoY? Deeper reds, FY25 net loss ₹2,276 crore. Oof, like betting on a leaky boat.

Quick Company Backstory:

Ola Electric spun from cab king Ola Cabs in 2017. Founder Bhavish Aggarwal, that bold guy behind ride-hailing, teamed with Ankit Jain early on. Bengaluru-based, they built India's biggest two-wheeler gigafactory in Tamil Nadu—aiming millions of EVs yearly. Vertically integrated: make batteries, motors, frames themselves. Cool, right? But scaling pains hit hard. 

What They Sell and How?

Simple: electric scooters for India's streets. Main lineup? Ola S1 series—S1 Pro, S1, affordable zippy ones with 200+ km range. Now Roadster X+ motorcycle, up to 500 km on their homegrown 4680 Bharat battery. Charging network too, Hyperchargers everywhere. Business? Sell direct via app, subscriptions, financing. Own the chain from factory to doorstep—no middlemen mess. Recent twist: Ola Shakti home batteries for power backups. Smart pivot amid EV dips. Think of it like your local kirana going online—faster, cheaper, but glitches galore.

Rebound or More Pain?

EV market's hot—India's two-wheeler EVs up 21% FY25, eyeing 30-40% share by 2030. Ola leads with 19.6% slice. Gross margins hit 34% lately, gigafactory ramping. PLI incentives ₹367 crore help. But doubts linger: competition from Bajaj, TVS; service fixes needed yesterday.

Price guesses? Tricky, I'm no guru. 2026: maybe ₹65-80 if launches click. 2030: ₹180-250 on market share grab. Stretch to 2035: ₹350-400, global push? 2040? Wild—could double if EVs dominate, or flop on battery flops. Like my uncle's old scooter bets—sometimes gold, often scrap. 




Thursday, February 12, 2026

Wipro Hits 52-Week Low at ₹218.5: Buy Opportunity or Further Fall Ahead?

Wipro dipping to ₹218.5, its 52-week low. Kinda shocking, right? Makes you wonder if it's time to grab some shares cheap or if more pain's coming.

Why the Big Drop?

IT sector's hurting bad. Wipro fell 4.5% in one day, dragged by weak global tech spending and economic jitters. Stock's below all moving averages—5-day, 50-day, you name it. Bearish signal, no doubt. Sector down too, but Wipro's lagging a bit. Side note: reminds me of that time my buddy bought low during COVID dips—worked out, but timing's tricky.

Quick Financial Snapshot:

Market cap sits at about ₹2.3 lakh crore right now. P/E ratio? Around 17-19, way below industry average of 23 or so for IT peers like TCS or Infosys. Dividend yield's juicy at 5%, paying out steadily. Debt's low, just ₹6,050 crore, debt-to-equity at 0.1—super healthy. ROE around 17-18%, ROCE 20-24%. Cash flow from ops strong at ₹17,000 crore last year. But profit growth? YoY quarterly dip of 7% lately, sales up slow at 0.75%.
Numbers scream undervalued, especially vs. peers. But sales growth's meh over 5 years—only 8% compounded.

Started in 1945 by M.H. Premji as a veggie oil biz in Maharashtra—Western India Vegetable Products, get it? Azim Premji, just 21, took over in '66 after his dad passed, ditched Stanford. Turned it into IT giant by '80s, soaps to software. Now 4th biggest Indian IT firm after TCS, Infosys, HCL. Azim's still the big shareholder at 73% promoter holding. Legend, huh? Gave billions to charity too.

What They Do Today?

Wipro's all about IT services, consulting, outsourcing. Big on cloud, AI, cybersecurity for global clients—banks, tech firms. Products like apps, digital platforms. Business model? Hire talent cheap in India, deliver projects worldwide. Steady deals, but competition's fierce from Accenture, IBM. They're pushing AI now, which could spark growth. Like a reliable old truck—solid, but needs upgrades.

Price Outlook: Hope or Hype?

Predictions vary, man. For 2026, some say ₹345-510 if IT rebounds. By 2030, maybe ₹610-900, riding digital boom. Longer term? Tough—2035 could hit ₹1,200-1,500 if AI pays off, 2040 around ₹2,000+ assuming 10-12% CAGR. But doubts linger: if recession hits or China undercuts more, could stay flat. I'm thinking buy small now for dividends, watch Q4 results. Your call—what's your risk appetite?


Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Indian Oil Corporation 5-Year Breakout Alert: Indian Oil Stock Set to Explode in 2026?

Indian Oil Corporation, or IOC as we call it, just smashed through a massive 5-year resistance level around ₹175-180. Shares hit ₹181 today—up from ₹110 lows last year. Is this the big breakout we've waited for? 

Why This Breakout Feels Real?

Picture this: IOC's chart shows a cup-and-handle pattern over five years, now bursting out on huge volume. Q3 FY26 profits exploded 529% YoY to ₹13,007 crore, thanks to fat refining margins and steady demand. Revenue climbed 5.74% too. But oil prices swing wild—could pull back if crude dips. Still, momentum screams buy for traders. 

Quick Numbers Check:

Market cap sits at ₹2.51 lakh crore, solid for a PSU giant. P/E ratio? Just 6.82—way below industry average of 16.26, screaming undervalued. Debt to equity is comfy at 0.74, total debt ₹1.34 lakh crore but manageable. ROE around 12.62%, dividend yield 1.64% pays nicely while you wait. Profit growth? That 529% YoY jump, though sales dipped slightly before. Cash flow strong from ops, covering debts easy.
I double-checked peers like BPCL—IOC looks cheaper. Not bad for beginners eyeing steady PSU plays.

Government baby, born in 1959 as Indian Oil Company. Renamed IOC in 1964, nationalized by 1972. Started small, refining 0.67 million tons crude. Now? 80 million tons capacity across 11 refineries. Big leaps like Mathura in 1981, Paradip later. They've piped oil 34,000 km nationwide. Kinda like building India's fuel highways. Govt owns 51.5%, rest public. Steady hands, but politics can nudge prices.

What They Do Daily?

IOC refines crude into petrol, diesel, ATF—you name it. Markets via 46,000 pumps (Indane LPG, Servo lube). Pipelines move it cheap. Petrochem side makes plastics feed. Now dipping into green hydrogen, EVs, solar. Business model? Integrated chain cuts costs, govt backing shields shocks. Everyday Indians fill up here—reliable, like your corner chaiwala but for fuel. Renewables push? Smart, with net-zero by 2046 goal. But oil still king for now.

Price Bets Ahead:

Short-term, 2026 could see ₹180-200 if breakout holds—analysts nod max ₹195. By 2030, ₹330-370 on energy demand, green shift. Stretch to 2035? Maybe ₹500+, if India guzzles more fuel. 2040? Wild guess ₹600-800, but who knows—EVs might crimp. These ain't guarantees; past predictions missed. Track crude, margins. 




Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Swiggy Share Price Explosive Breakout: 1-Month Surge Signals 20%+ Rally Ahead!

Swiggy's stock just shot up over 20% in the last month. Feels like the market's waking up to something big here.

That breakout? It's got traders buzzing. From lows around May 2025, it's climbed steady on tech charts showing strength—RSI at 72, positive crossovers everywhere. Brokerages like IIFL and BNP Paribas jumped in with "buy" calls, eyeing quick commerce growth and festive demand boosts. Wonder if the 8th Pay Commission rumors are adding fuel too. Side note: remember Zomato's run? This smells similar.

Quick Numbers Check:

Swiggy trades around ₹350 now, market cap hitting ₹96,000 crore or so. P/E? Negative at -25x 'cause losses persist—TTM earnings deep red at minus ₹4,430 crore. Food delivery peers? Their P/Es float positive, 40-60x range, but Swiggy's growth story might justify the premium once profits flip.

Debt's low, almost zero, debt-to-equity at 0. ROE sucks at -255%—yeah, negative equity returns from losses. No dividend yield yet; they're burning cash for growth. Q3 FY26 revenue exploded 54% YoY to ₹6,148 crore, but net loss widened to ₹1,065 crore on expansion spends. Food delivery GOV up 20.5% YoY, margins inching to 7.6% contribution. Cash flow? Free cash positive hints in some reports, but they're investing heavy in dark stores.
Profits? Still growing losses YoY, not profits—though EBITDA loss narrowed a bit QoQ. Like a young athlete bulking up, costs hurt now but strength comes later.

Who Started This Ride?

Three Bangalore guys: Sriharsha Majety, Nandan Reddy, Rahul Jaimini. Back in 2013, they tinkered with Bundl, a shipping site. Flopped. Pivoted to food delivery in 2014 as Swiggy. Smart move—went from zero orders to millions.IPO hit Nov 2024 at ₹390/share, valuing at $11.3B. Laid off 6% staff pre-listing, sold kitchens biz. Tough calls, but they're scaling.

How They Make MoneyCore? 

Food delivery from 2.6 lakh restaurants in 720 cities. Commissions, delivery fees, ads. Then Instamart—quick commerce rocket. Groceries, snacks in 10-15 mins via dark stores (mini-warehouses everywhere). 
Genie for porters too. Revenue mix: food still king, but QC growing fastest, 54% top-line jump partly from there. AI routes riders, predicts demand—like Amazon but hyper-local, Indian style. Real-life win: late-night cravings sorted, no more midnight store runs.

What's Next? Price GuessesAnalysts peg 1-year target ₹485, max ₹740. For 2026, predictions say ₹663-₹1,223—20%+ rally easy if margins hit 4.5-5% EBITDA. Long haul? 2030: ₹1,270-₹1,510. 2035? No firm calls, but scaling QC could push higher. 2040: Wild guess ₹3,260-₹3,675 if they grab market share like Zomato did. Doubts? Competition from Blinkit, losses linger. But low debt, 20%+ GOV growth? Bullish.





Monday, February 9, 2026

IFCI 6-Month Breakout Alert: ₹64 Surge Signals 50%+ Rally Ahead?

IFCI hitting ₹64 lately? That's a solid jump from its 6-month low around ₹35. Feels like it's breaking out, right? Charts show it smashing past resistance—kinda like a rubber band snapping after months of tension.

Quick Price Reason:

This surge? Blame it on profit pops and debt cuts. Latest quarter, net profit shot up 61% to ₹21 Cr. Stock's up 22% in a year, with technicals like CCI over 200 screaming "buy." But hey, markets flip fast—watch those Bollinger Bands.

Company Snapshot:

Market cap sits at ₹17,400 Cr now. P/E's high at 43.6, way above industry avg of ~19 for finance peers like IREDA or PFC. No dividend yield, zero—bummer if you're into that. Debt to equity dropped nice to 0.43 from 1.33 last year. ROE's meh at 2.6-3%, but profit growth? 22% CAGR over 5 years. Cash flow from ops was negative ₹984 Cr last year—ouch, investing ate cash too.

Born July 1, 1948, as India's first DFI for industrial loans. Think post-independence push: funded factories, roads, power. Helped spawn ICICI, IDBI. Owned by govt, now NBFC. Sanctioned ₹838,000 Cr over decades, created 1M jobs. Rough ride with NPAs, but cleaning up.

Business Model:

IFCI lends long-term to infra, manufacturing, services—airports, telecom, real estate. Structured debt, sponsor finance, pre-IPO loans, off-balance sheet stuff. Assets ~₹25,700 Cr, big chunk in investments like NSE stake (that's juicy, could unlock value). Revenue from interest, fees. Sales dipped -8% over 5 years, but margins hit 35-43% lately.

Price Predictions:
Short-term, 50% rally to ₹96 feels on if breakout holds—momentum's hot. By end-2026, could touch ₹100-220, riding infra boom. 2030? Analysts eye ₹400-650 if profits compound. 2035, maybe ₹800+ with govt push. 2040? Wild guess ₹1,200-1,500, assuming 15% CAGR like past decade—but debt must stay low, or poof. Like betting on a old bike fixing up for the rally; risky, but pedals are turning.


Sunday, February 8, 2026

Aavas Financiers Crashes to 5-Year Low at ₹1277: Buy Opportunity or Value Trap?

Aavas Financiers just hit a rough patch. Stock plunged to ₹1277, its lowest in five years.

Why the Big Drop?

Rising interest rates are biting hard. Borrowing costs up, folks delay home buys. Housing demand slows in semi-urban spots where Aavas shines. Plus, sector blues—peers like PNB Housing slipping too. Market jitters from pledged promoter shares add fear. Stock down 25% in a year, 35% over five. Feels like panic selling.

Quick Financial Snapshot:

Market cap sits at ₹10,306 crore. P/E ratio around 16.4—below some housing finance peers at 20ish. Industry P/E? Roughly 18-20 for affordable housing players. Not screaming cheap, but decent. 
ROE steady at 14.3%, solid for lenders. Debt-to-equity 3.18, high but typical for finance firms—they borrow to lend. Dividend yield? Zero right now. No payouts lately.
Cash flow negative from ops, common in growth mode: -₹1,660 Cr last year. They're funding loan books. Profit up 17% YoY to ₹574 Cr. Nice growth amid mess. 

Started 2011 by Sushil Kumar Agarwal and Ghanshyam Rawat. Saw gap: rural folks ignored by big banks. Kicked off ops in 2012 with housing finance license. Jaipur-based, now nationwide. IPO in 2018 fueled growth. Rawat still CFO.

What They Do:

Simple: Affordable home loans for low-middle income in tier 2-5 cities. 90% borrowers underprivileged. Loans for buying, building, fixing homes. Quick processing, 7-10 days. Loan book ballooned to ₹14,000 Cr. Digitizing everything—sourcing to collections. Smart. Like a friendlier bank for small-town dream homes.But debt heavy, asset quality watch needed if economy sours.

Predictions vary. AI models see ₹1,919 by late 2026. Optimists eye ₹3,000 by 2026 end if rates ease. By 2030, maybe ₹1,700-2,000. 2035 around ₹1,984. 2040? Wild guess ₹2,500+ if housing booms. Doubts linger. Economy sluggish? Trap. Rates drop, government pushes PMAY housing? Bargain.


Saturday, February 7, 2026

Steel Authority of India (SAIL) 52-Week High Breakout: ₹161 Surge – Buy Now or Wait?

SAIL just smashed its 52-week high at ₹161.3, up over 60% from its low of ₹99. That's a wild ride for steel lovers like us retail investors. But with prices jumping like this, should you jump in or sit tight? 
Let's break it down simple.

What's Behind the Surge?

Steel prices are hot right now, thanks to infrastructure boom and global demand. SAIL broke out strong, trading above all key moving averages – 5-day, 20-day, even 200-day. It's up 46% in a year, beating the Sensex. Feels like momentum, but steel stocks swing with commodity prices. Remember last year's dip? Kinda scary.
Market cap sits at ₹66,303 crore – solid but not giant like Tata Steel. P/E ratio? Around 24, below industry average of 30. Not screaming cheap, but fair.

Key Numbers – Healthy or Not?

Debt to equity is low at 0.66 – good sign, less risk if rates bite. ROE's modest 3.9-4.4%, meaning not super efficient on shareholder money yet. Dividend yield? Nice 1% kick, pays ₹1.6 per share.
Cash flow from ops was ₹905 crore last check – positive, covers bills. Profit growth YoY? Down 21%, sales dipped 2.75% too. Ouch. But ROCE at 6.3% shows capital's working okay.

It's a government baby, born January 24, 1973, to merge old steel plants like Bhilai and Rourkela. Public sector unit, Maharatna status now. Think of it as India's steel backbone since the 70s, with tech from Russia, Germany back then. Grown huge, but state-owned means some bureaucracy.

Business Model & Products:

SAIL makes everything steel – hot/cold rolled coils, plates, rails, structurals, wires. Integrated setup: mines iron ore, makes steel, rolls it out. Sells to railways (rails), autos, construction, exports too. Customer-focused, with quality certs like ISO. Like a one-stop steel shop for India's infra push – roads, bridges, trains.

Price Predictions – Dream or Real?Analysts guess ₹166-203 by end 2026, riding infra wave. 2030? ₹310-400 if profits grow. Long shot: 2035 maybe ₹420+, 2040 ₹450-500, but that's optimistic – assumes green steel tech and no recessions. Hey, steel demand could explode with housing, but China dumping worries me.






Friday, February 6, 2026

Nykaa 52-Week Breakout: ₹278 High Signals Massive Rally – Buy Now?

Nykaa's stock blasting to ₹278? That's its 52-week high, hit just days ago on Feb 4-5, 2026. Traders are buzzing—could this be the start of a big rally?

I mean, look at the chart. It opened around ₹265, touched ₹278, and volume spiked to over 54 million shares. Broke past the 50-day moving average at ₹253 like it was nothing. Feels like momentum's building after months of hovering low at ₹155. But is it a buy? Let's dig in without the hype.

Quick Financial Snapshot:

Nykaa's market cap sits at about ₹79,000 crore right now. [ from fetch] P/E ratio? Sky-high at 717 to over 1,200—way above the industry average of 123. Earnings per share is tiny, just ₹0.36 TTM. Book value per share around ₹5-6.

ROE is modest, 6-7.5%. Not bad for growth stock, but nothing screaming efficiency. Debt to equity is super low at 0.05—barely any loans, just ₹76 crore total debt. Cash flow per share varies, latest around positive but spotty historically. Dividend yield? Zero. They reinvest everything.

Profit growth? Q3 FY26 net profit jumped 143% YoY to ₹63 crore. Revenue up 27% to ₹2,873 crore. Festive sales helped, but yeah, it's growing. Sales up 34% overall.

Who Runs This Show?

Falguni Nayar started Nykaa in 2012 at age 50. Ex-banker from Kotak, no beauty background. Spotted a gap—fake products everywhere, no trusted online spot for women. Named it after "nayika," meaning heroine. She's still MD, family involved too.

From a small Mumbai site to IPO in 2021. Went public at big valuation. Now 150+ stores, but online's king.

How Nykaa Makes Money?

Beauty and fashion e-tailer. Sells 2,000+ brands—makeup, skincare, hair from Maybelline to luxury like Estee Lauder. Own brands like Nykaa Cosmetics, Kay Beauty (Katrina Kaif's). Fashion arm Nykaa Fashion for clothes, accessories. Wellness too—supplements, perfumes.

Business model?

Omni-channel: app, website, stores. Curated picks, reviews, AR try-ons. High margins on owned brands. Targets young women in Tier 2-3 cities now. Revenue mix: 70% beauty, rest fashion. Gross profit up 31% last quarter.

Price Predictions—My TakeShort-term, this breakout might push to ₹300 if it holds ₹260 support. But P/E's nuts—overvalued? For 2026, analysts eye ₹450-500 if profits keep doubling. Beauty market in India booming to $30B by 2027.

2030? Some say ₹800-1,000, riding e-com wave. If they grab 20% market share.

2035, who knows—maybe ₹2,000 if IPO magic repeats and economy grows 7%. Long shot.

2040? ₹4,000+? Pure guess, like betting on Amazon in 2000. Depends on no big rivals eating lunch.

Thursday, February 5, 2026

Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) 52-Week Breakout: Explosive Surge to ₹178 – Buy Now?

IOCL just smashed its 52-week high at around ₹178. Wow, right? Shares jumped from a low of ₹111, and now everyone's buzzing. But is it time to buy? Let's dig in, like chatting over chai. I'm no guru, just piecing this together for you retail investors dipping toes into stocks.

What's Behind the Surge?

Crude processing shot up 5%, fuel sales climbed 6% in the latest quarter. Refining margins? From peanuts at $2 a barrel to a solid $10.6. Government tossed ₹14,500 crore for LPG losses too – that's real cash relief. Plus, lower costs and smart ops tweaks called SPRINT. Oil prices steady, demand roaring back. No wonder it broke out. Feels like that underdog finally hitting stride.
But hey, crude swings wild – one OPEC cut, and poof? Keep eyes peeled.

Key Numbers at a Glance:

Market cap sits at ₹2.36 lakh crore – massive PSU beast. P/E ratio? 9.27, cheaper than industry average around 11-14. Bargain? Debt to equity 1.06, not scary. ROE 12.62%, decent for oil game. Dividend yield 1.75% – steady pocket money. Cash flow strong from ops, profits flipped YoY from losses to ₹7,800 crore in Q2 FY26. Profit growth? Huge turnaround, margins at 9%.
Looks healthy, but oil's volatile – remember 2020 crash?

Born 1959 as Indian Oil Company, tiny 0.67M ton refinery. 1964 rename to IOCL. Nationalized 1972, government owns 51.5%. Grew huge: pipelines everywhere, refineries from Mathura '81 to massive 80M ton capacity now. Entered petrochemicals '90s. From post-independence push to Fortune 500 regular. Like India's fuel backbone, quietly powering trucks and homes.

Business Model and Products:

Simple: Buy crude cheap (Russia deals?), refine into petrol, diesel, LPG, jet fuel. Sell via 46,000 pumps – 30% market share. Pipelines move it fast, low cost. Petrochem extras like plastics. Green push too: Net zero by 2046, renewables ramp. Makes money on margins, volumes. Govt backing shields some shocks. Everyday stuff – your bike petrol? Probably IOCL.
Real life: Long drives, that full tank feels good. They make it happen.

Price Predictions – My Take:

Short term, could test ₹200 if oil holds. 2026? Say ₹210 max, steady climb. 2030 around ₹500-600, green energy kicks in. 2035 maybe ₹700, if demand booms. 2040? Wild guess ₹800, but renewables disrupt oil big time. Analysts split: Some see ₹180 soon, others caution subsidies drag.




Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Cupid Ltd shares have delivered massive multibagger returns recently, surging over 500% in the past year amid expansion news and strong momentum.

Cupid Ltd shares? They exploded over 500% in the last year. From around ₹50 to over ₹400 now.

Latest Price Buzz:

Shares closed at ₹431.5 recently, after dipping to ₹410. But earlier this month, they jumped 13% to ₹442 on killer Q3 results. Net profit shot up 196% YoY to ₹32.83 crore.

Revenue's booming too—91% up in Q2 to ₹90 crore. Bonus issue talk (4:1) added fuel. Market cap sits at about ₹11,500 crore.

Wonder why? Strong exports, new FMCG launches. But is it peaking? Support at ₹400, resistance ₹470.

Key Numbers for Investors:

P/E ratio? High at 131-133, way above industry 28-55. Means pricey compared to peers.

Debt to equity super low: 0.05-0.05, almost debt-free. Cash? ₹1.9 billion hoard, more than debt (₹206 million). ROE around 16-18%, solid.

Profit growth? FY25 PAT up to ₹41 crore from ₹40 crore prior—steady climb. Q3 smashed records. Dividend yield? Zero lately, they're reinvesting. Cash flow mixed—ops negative recently, but covers debt easy (ratio 2.7).

Started 1993 as Cupid Rubbers Ltd in Nashik, Maharashtra. Made male condoms first.

Name changed to Cupid Ltd in 2006. IPO way back in 1995. Promoters hold 45.5%—Aditya Kuwar and family, I think. Steady hands.

Grew from local orders to exports. Hit snags, but bounced back. Real hustlers.

What They Do?

Simple: Sexual wellness stuff. Male/female condoms (480M capacity yearly), lube jelly, IVD test kits.

Now B2C push—deodorants, perfumes, hair oils, menstrual cups under Cupid brand. Exports to Africa, Nepal.

Business? B2B govt orders + growing retail/FMCG. High margins on kits. Like Durex, but Indian player expanding fast. Smart diversification.

Predictions? Tricky—past surges don't promise future. But bulls say: 2026 end ₹147 (from older calls, adjust up?).

2030? ₹700ish if growth holds. Stretch to 2035/2040? No solid numbers, but double-triple if exports/FMCG click—say ₹1,500-3,000 by 2035? Pure guess, like betting on a hot startup. These are my wildest guesses. Do not trust these numbers blindly.

Monday, February 2, 2026

SBI Cards And Payment Services Hits 52-Week Low at ₹725: Time to Buy or Stay Away?

SBI Cards And Payment Services just hit a 52-week low at ₹725. Ouch, right? If you're eyeing it as a buy or wondering if it's time to steer clear, let's break it down simply.

Why the Price Drop?

The stock slid to ₹726.6 recently, down 3.4% in a day and 4.65% over three days. Blame flat quarterly results, high debt worries, and NBFC sector blues—down 2.82% too. It's under all moving averages, screaming bearish vibes. Even with Q3 profit up 45% YoY to ₹557 crore, annual profits dipped, spooking folks.

Market cap sits at ₹70,165 crore now, with price around ₹737. P/E is 33.6, higher than peers like Bajaj Finance at 30.7 or Shriram at 20.5—industry median around 19. NBFC average? About 30-100, but SBI Cards looks pricey here.

Key Numbers Check:

Cash flow? Operating was negative lately, like -₹2,140 crore last year—common for lenders growing loans fast. Debt's huge, borrowings at ₹44,947 crore end FY25. Debt-to-equity? Around 3.3x, or 332%—high, but NBFCs borrow to lend.

Dividend yield's a measly 0.34%, payout low at 12%. ROE is solid 14.8%, ROCE 10.4%. Profit growth? Q3 YoY +45%, but FY25 net profit fell to ₹1,916 crore from prior, TTM growth just 2% compounded. Mixed bag, huh? Like a friend who earns well but spends too much.

Born 1998 as JV between State Bank of India (big daddy) and GE Capital. HQ in Gurgaon. SBI bought out GE in 2017 with Carlyle help. Listed 2020 as first pure credit card play. Grew cards-in-force to 2.18 crore now.

How They Make Money?

Business? Issue credit cards, earn from interest on unpaid balances (big chunk), fees, merchant discounts. Products: SimplyCLICK for shoppers, AURUM for rich folks, co-branded with IRCTC or BPCL. Retail spends up 8% YoY to ₹92k crore, corporate 14%. Digital push for millennials. 18% market share. They lend your spending power, pocket the cut. Smart, if defaults stay low.

Numbers show strength—ROE decent, Q3 profit jump—but debt scares me, P/E stretched, stock down 11% yearly. At ₹725, trading 4.7x book value (₹155). If economy booms, cards fly. But recessions? Defaults spike. I'd watch asset quality, next results. Not rushing in yet.

Price guesses? Analysts vary. 2026: maybe ₹1,400 high end. 2030: ₹3,400-4,300. Longer? Wild—2035 could double that if growth holds, 2040 ₹10k+? Pure speculation, like betting on rain in Delhi monsoon. Do your homework, friend.


Sunday, February 1, 2026

Union Budget 2026: Key Highlights and Investment Opportunities for Indian Markets.

Union Budget 2026, presented on February 1, 2026, by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, emphasizes manufacturing scale-up, infrastructure push, and fiscal prudence with public capex at ₹12.2 lakh crore and fiscal deficit at 4.3% of GDP. Markets reacted sharply negative due to STT hikes on F&O (futures to 0.05%, options to 0.15%), causing Sensex to drop nearly 1,500 points, though select sectors like infra, defence, and tourism showed pockets of resilience. 

Here are 10 key stock market takeaways with investment opportunities, tailored for Indian investors focusing on long-term growth amid volatility.

Infrastructure Boost:

Public capex rises to ₹12.2 lakh crore from ₹11.2 lakh crore, supporting Tier-II/III cities, Dedicated Freight Corridors (Dankuni-Surat), 20 new National Waterways, and seven High-Speed Rail corridors like Mumbai-Pune. An Infrastructure Risk Guarantee Fund aids private developers, boosting execution. Stocks like Larsen & Toubro (L&T) and KNR Constructions (target ₹240) stand to gain from MoRTH allocations, irrigation projects, and NHAI tenders worth ₹8,000-10,000 crore.

Defence Modernization:

Defence capex sees an 18-30% YoY increase to ₹2.1-2.3 lakh crore, emphasizing indigenization despite short-term stock dips (Nifty Defence index -9%). Exemptions on customs duty for aircraft parts and MRO for defence units enhance domestic manufacturing. Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL, target ₹5,585 at 32.9x FY28E) leads in aerospace with 5-10 year visibility; Bharat Electronics (BEL) benefits from tech integration.


MSME Empowerment:

₹10,000 crore SME Growth Fund and ₹2,000 crore top-up to Self-Reliant India Fund target 'Champion MSMEs'; TReDS enhancements (credit guarantees, GeM linkage) unlock ₹7 lakh crore liquidity. Professional support via 'Corporate Mitras' aids compliance in Tier-II/III towns. Small-cap MSME plays in manufacturing/export clusters gain; watch diversified firms with TReDS exposure for order inflows.

Manufacturing Revival:

Schemes for Biopharma SHAKTI (₹10,000 crore), ISM 2.0, Electronics outlay to ₹40,000 crore, Textiles (Mega Parks, National Fibre Scheme), and Chemical Parks target seven strategic sectors. Tax exemptions for non-residents in bonded zones and legacy cluster revival (200 sites) cut import reliance. Container Manufacturing (₹10,000 crore) favors capital goods; stocks like NMDC (target ₹98) in mining/rare earths poised for gains.

Energy Security:

₹20,000 crore for CCUS across power/steel/cement, BCD exemptions on lithium-ion cells, solar glass inputs, and nuclear goods till 2035 secure transitions. Coastal Cargo Scheme doubles waterways share to 12% by 2047. NTPC and Tata Power emerge as picks for scale in renewables/battery storage; PFC/REC restructuring aids PSUs.

NRI/FPI Inflows:

PROI investment limits rise: individual from 5% to 10%, aggregate to 24%; Portfolio Investment Scheme opens for NRIs in listed equities. FEMA review and corporate bond market-making enhance liquidity. Amid FPI outflows (₹19bn in 2025), this counters volatility; broadens base for mid/small-caps.

Services & Tourism Surge:

Medical Tourism Hubs (5 regional), upskilled guides (10,000), eco-trails, 15 archaeological sites, and Buddhist Circuits in Northeast boost forex/jobs. National Destination Digital Grid creates content roles. Thomas Cook, BLS International rise on tourism push; hospitality firms like Indian Hotels gain from iconic sites.

Agriculture Value Chains:

Coconut/Cashew/Cocoa schemes, veterinary colleges via subsidies, fisheries (500 reservoirs), Bharat-VISTAAR AI tool enhance rural incomes. High-value crops (sandalwood, nuts) diversify outputs. UPL benefits from agri-credit/MSME support; watch livestock/dairy FPOs for rural consumption plays.

Financial Sector Reforms:

STT hike hit broking stocks (MCX -12%, Angel One/BSE -8%), but municipal bond incentives (₹100cr for ₹1,000cr+ issues), PFC/REC restructure, and banking committee signal depth. High-Level Banking Committee aligns with Viksit Bharat. State Bank of India (SBI) for dividends/credit growth; NBFCs post-restructuring for scale.

Fiscal Prudence Edge:

Debt-to-GDP at 55.6% (down from 56.1%), fiscal deficit 4.3%; 16th Finance Commission grants ₹1.4 lakh crore to states sustain capex without populism. Direct tax ease (TCS cuts to 2%, penalty rationalization) aids retail. Long-term bulls favor defensives like FMCG/banks; dip-buy infra/defence as STT pain fades.

These takeaways highlight ₹12.2 lakh crore capex as a multi-year driver, offsetting STT negativity; focus on infra/manufacturing for 15-20% upside in aligned stocks amid 7% GDP growth path. Investors should diversify, monitor Q4 earnings for execution.

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Bajaj Housing Finance All Time Low: Share Price Hits ₹87 Amid 26% Crash – Buy or Sell?

Bajaj Housing Finance just smashed its all-time low at ₹87.3 on Jan 30, 2026 – down over 26% from recent highs around ₹117.

What Triggered This Mess?

Promoter Bajaj Finance dumped a 2% stake back in early December 2025 via a block deal worth about ₹1,900 crore at ₹97 a share. That sparked panic selling, and the stock kept sliding – now 47% off its peak of ₹180. Feels like investors are spooked by more stake sales possible, since promoters still hold 86-88%. Market's rough too, with NBFC jitters.

Quick Numbers Check:
Current price hovers near ₹88-90, market cap around ₹73,000-75,700 Cr. 
P/E is high at 31-32x, way above housing finance industry average of 16x. 
ROE sits at 10.8-13.5%, ROCE 8.8-9.5% – decent but not screaming value. Debt to equity? High at 4.4-4.7, typical for lenders loaded with borrowings. No dividend yield yet, 0%. Cash flow from operations negative at -₹17,000 Cr last year – they're growing loans fast, so money's pouring into assets. Profit up 24% YoY in H1 FY26 to ₹1,226 Cr, strong sales growth too. 

Part of the Bajaj empire, kicked off in 1926 by Jamnalal Bajaj. Bajaj Housing Finance started mortgage ops in 2018 as a Bajaj Finance subsidiary – now a top HFC with 308K customers by 2024. Led by Bajaj Finserv folks like Sanjiv Bajaj. No big founder drama, just solid family biz vibes. 

How They Make Money?
Lend for homes, property upgrades, biz expansions. Products? Home loans, loans against property (LAP), developer finance, lease rental discounting. They fund individuals and builders – AUM exploding, 2nd biggest in housing finance. Think of it like your friendly neighborhood bank, but focused on roofs over heads. Growth's wild, 29% sales CAGR over 5 years.

₹292-342 by end-2026, ₹610-725 in 2030, up to ₹1,370 in 2035, even ₹2,000-2,660 by 2040. Housing boom in India could help, but high debt and P/E make me pause.
These are my wildest guesses. Do not trust these numbers blindly.



Friday, January 30, 2026

Silver Crash Alert: Why Prices Plunged 5% Today from Rs 4 Lakh Peak – What Investors Must Know Now.

Silver prices crashed over 15% worldwide, dropping to around $98 an ounce after peaking above $120 recently. Shocking, right?

The Big Crash Explained:

Traders are calling it a bloodbath. Silver plunged from highs fueled by weak dollar vibes and safe-haven buying amid Trump-era policy talks. But boom—margin hikes by CME Group forced liquidations, wiping out small players overnight.

Profit-taking kicked in hard too. After a 50%+ January rally, everything was overbought—like that friend who parties too wild and crashes. Dollar strengthened on upbeat US data, killing the buzz.

Geopolitics cooled off a bit. Less Iran tension, no big tariff scares right now. Industrial demand from solar and EVs holds strong, but short-term panic rules.

Pan American Silver's Numbers:
market cap around $7-8B lately (estimates vary post-rally). P/E? Forward looks like 20-25x, way below some hype peers.
Industry average P/E hovers 15-30x for miners, depending on silver's wild ride.
Dividend yield? About 1.5-2%, pays quarterly—nice for holders. ROE around 8-10%, profit growth YoY positive at 20%+ in spots. Not bad, but silver crush hurts everyone.

Pan American started in 1994, founded by that Canadian crew spotting silver opps in Latin America. Grew by grabbing mines in Peru, Mexico, Argentina. Now world's second-biggest primary silver producer.

How They Make Money?
Business model: Straight mining. Dig silver, some gold byproduct. Sell to refiners, jewelers, industries. Services? Mostly production, hedging futures to dodge crashes like today's.
Products: Silver bars, doré. Big on solar panels (40% demand), EVs, electronics. Streaming deals too—like Wheaton, where they fund mines for % output. Smart, low-risk cash.

Short-term, could dip more to $90 support if dollar stays strong. But rebound likely—supply deficits hit 35M oz yearly.

2026: Analysts eye $150-200/oz average. Rally cools but industrial pull strong.
2030? $300-400 possible with solar boom.
2035: $500-600, if deficits persist. 2040? Wild guess $700+, but who knows—AI chips, green tech could explode it. Or recession tanks it. Kiyosaki says $200 by '26, bullish dude.





Thursday, January 29, 2026

Eternal (Zomato) Share Price Bounces Back: 2-Day Surge Sparks Investor Buzz Amid Q3 Strength.

Zomato's shiny new badge – spiked 7.5% over two days. Everyone's talking. Blame it on killer Q3 earnings.

What's Behind the Jump?

Q3 profit leaped 73% YoY to ₹102 crore. That's ₹1.02 billion for the math nerds. Blinkit orders jumped 105%, revenue up 122%. Street loves it – targets hiked to ₹360 by some. Price now ₹275-ish, down a tad from peak ₹305. Market cap clocks ₹2.51 lakh crore. Huge!

Eternal (Zomato) boasts a market cap of ₹2.51 trillion.
P/E ratio sits sky-high at 1,197x, way above food delivery industry peers around 500-1,000x.
Op cash flow was ₹3B in recent Q3, though Q4 dipped negative. 
Total debt ₹61B, debt-to-equity a comfy 0.20 with equity at ₹308B. Dividend yield? Zero – growth mode.
ROE turned positive ~0.3% lately. 
Q3 profit surged 73% YoY to ₹102Cr. Solid turnaround, but watch cash burns. 

Deepinder Goyal, ex-Bain guy, hated menu hassles in 2008. Built FoodieBay with Pankaj. Zomato by 2009. Spread to 20+ countries. Tough ride – losses, COVID pivot to delivery. 2021 IPO valued at $20B+. Now Eternal, post-name change. Deepinder's still CEO, no-nonsense type. Respect.

How They Make Money?

App connects you to biryani spots. Commissions 20-25% per order. Hyperpure sells veggies to chefs. Blinkit? Rocket-fast groceries in 10 mins. Gold subs for deals. Ads from brands. Quick commerce exploding – 40% GOV growth QoQ. Model: High volume, slim margins first, scale later. Like Amazon in early days.

2026? ₹345 base case, bulls say ₹505. 2030 could hit ₹600-1000 if Blinkit owns 10-min game. 2035? ₹800-1500, assuming India urbanizes more. 2040 wild – ₹2000? If they go global big. But doubts: Rivals, fuel costs, rules. Me? Bullish mildly. Buy dips?






Wednesday, January 28, 2026

IREDA Share Price Surges 4% Today: Key Drivers Behind the Renewable Energy Rally (Jan 28, 2026)

IREDA's stock just jumped nearly 4% to around ₹133.87 by late afternoon today. Pretty exciting if you're into green energy plays, right? But why the sudden pop in this choppy market?

What's Fueling the Surge?

Word on the street is strong Q3 numbers from earlier this month are still echoing. Profit shot up 38% year-over-year to ₹585 crore, with revenue climbing 25%. Loan book grew 28% too, hitting ₹87,975 crore – that's real demand for solar and wind projects. India's pushing hard for 500 GW renewables by 2030, and IREDA's right in the mix. Kinda like the bank for all those shiny new solar farms popping up everywhere.

Quick Financials:

Market cap sits at about ₹36,200-37,100 crore. P/E ratio? Around 19-25, depending on who you ask – not crazy high compared to peers in lending. ROE is solid at 16-18%, showing they make good money on shareholder cash. Debt-to-equity is high, like 6x, 'cause it's a lender – normal stuff, but watch it.

Profit growth YoY was that whopping 38% last quarter. Dividend yield? Pretty much zero right now. Cash flow details are fuzzy in spots, but operating margins are nuts at 93%.

Born in 1987 under Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE). Started as a public ltd company to fund green projects when solar was barely a thing. Went public with IPO in 2023, I think. Navratna status now, fully owned by GoI. They've sanctioned over ₹1 lakh crore in loans historically.

IREDA's no regular bank. They lend big for renewables – term loans for solar panels, wind turbines, hydro, biomass. Stuff like rooftop solar financing, bridge loans, even guarantees for bonds. Equity investments too, plus advisory services. Borrow cheap from markets/govt, lend to green devs at higher rates. Simple as that. Their loan portfolio's exploding with India's net-zero dreams.

Analysts are bullish. For end-2026, targets around ₹330-418. By 2030? Could hit ₹1,160 if growth holds. Longer term, 2035 or 2040? Tough call – no solid numbers yet, but with 500GW push and global green shift, maybe doubles every 5 years? Pure speculation, though. Markets can flip fast; remember 2024 dips?

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Tata Steel 52-Week Breakout: ₹193 High Signals Massive Bull Run!


Tata Steel just smashed its 52-week high at ₹193.2 today. Feels like the steel giant is revving up for something big – maybe that bull run we've all been waiting for. 

Wonder why the price jumped like this?

Blame it on strong demand from India's infra boom, better realizations, and cost cuts that boosted Q2 profits by a whopping 62.5% in the latest quarter. The stock's above all key moving averages now, up 52% in a year while Sensex lagged at 8.6%. Not bad, right? 

Key Financials at a Glance:

Let's break down the numbers quick. Market cap sits around ₹2.34 lakh crore – huge for a steel player. 
P/E ratio? About 31.8 right now, while the steel industry's hovering near 35. Not screaming overvalued to me. 

Debt to equity is a comfy 0.37, total debt ₹59,681 crore but they've cut net debt lately. ROE's 9%, ROCE 11-15% depending on the quarter – decent, shows they're squeezing profits from equity. Dividend yield around 1.9-2%, payout a bit high at 131% but hey, they pay.

Profit growth YoY?
Net sales up 11%, operating margins at 23%. Cash flow? They're funding expansions smartly, no red flags popping up. 

Back in 1907, Jamsetji Tata dreamed big – wanted India making its own steel, no imports. His son Dorabji made it real, setting up Tata Iron and Steel Company in Jamshedpur. They kicked off pig iron in 1911, steel by 1912. Survived wars, grew into a Tata Group powerhouse. Imagine building a city around a factory – that's Jamshedpur, their heartbeat.

Tata Steel's all about vertical integration. They mine iron ore and coal themselves, melt it into slabs, roll out sheets – cuts costs, keeps quality tight.

Products? Hot-rolled coils for cars and bridges, coated steel for appliances, wire rods for welding, even fancy stuff for agri gear. Serves auto, construction, power plants – everyday heroes in infra. 
Global too, but India's their cash cow with expansions on deck. Smart, eh? Like owning the farm to table for steel.

Short term, 2026 could see ₹190-230 if demand holds. Analysts eye infra push and debt cuts. By 2030? ₹410-570, riding green steel and exports. Longer haul: 2035 around ₹810-870, 2040 maybe ₹1430-1490 if they nail sustainability.







Monday, January 26, 2026

Relaxo Footwears Share Price at 5-Year Low: Time to Buy or Sell?

Relaxo Footwears stock, it's hitting scary lows right now—around ₹358 as of late January 2026. Down almost 50% in five years, and 35% just last year. Makes you wonder, right?

Why the Big Drop?

Weak demand in mass-market shoes, fierce competition from local players, and slow sales growth at just 3% over five years. Q1 FY26 revenue fell 7% YoY to ₹629 Cr, though profit edged up 10% to ₹49 Cr thanks to better margins. Inflation hit raw materials hard too—think crude-based stuff for slippers. Kinda like when your favorite street chaat guy hikes prices but crowds thin out.

Key Numbers for Retail Investors:

Market cap sits at ₹8,905 Cr. P/E ratio? High at 51, way above peers like Bata (59) or Red Tape (34)—industry average around 40-50. Dividend yield's decent at 0.84%, ROE lowish at 8.3%, ROCE 11%. Debt to equity super healthy at 0.10, cash flow from ops positive ₹406 Cr last year but investing eats it up. Profit growth? Mixed—TTM down 4%, but recent quarter up a bit. Not screaming cheap, but balance sheet feels solid.

Began in 1976 when brothers Mukand Lal Dua and Ramesh Kumar Dua took their dad's small footwear gig in Delhi with ₹10,000. Now, eight plants churn 6 lakh pairs daily. Family still runs it strong.

What They Do?

Mass-market champs in slippers, sandals, sports shoes via brands like Sparx, Bahamas, Flite, Relaxo. Sell through 100,000+ outlets, e-com, exports. Focus on comfy, cheap daily wear for tier-2/3 towns—under ₹500 mostly. Pushing premium now with 250+ new styles for 2026. Market share under 10%, room to grow.

Short-term shaky, but long-haul optimists say ₹1,000-1,400 by end-2026 if demand picks up. 2030? Wild ₹4,000-5,500. By 2035-2040, who knows—maybe double that if they grab share from unorganized guys. But hey, footwear's cyclical; don't bet the farm. These are analyst shots, not guarantees.