Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Swiggy Share Price Explosive Breakout: 1-Month Surge Signals 20%+ Rally Ahead!

Swiggy's stock just shot up over 20% in the last month. Feels like the market's waking up to something big here.

That breakout? It's got traders buzzing. From lows around May 2025, it's climbed steady on tech charts showing strength—RSI at 72, positive crossovers everywhere. Brokerages like IIFL and BNP Paribas jumped in with "buy" calls, eyeing quick commerce growth and festive demand boosts. Wonder if the 8th Pay Commission rumors are adding fuel too. Side note: remember Zomato's run? This smells similar.

Quick Numbers Check:

Swiggy trades around ₹350 now, market cap hitting ₹96,000 crore or so. P/E? Negative at -25x 'cause losses persist—TTM earnings deep red at minus ₹4,430 crore. Food delivery peers? Their P/Es float positive, 40-60x range, but Swiggy's growth story might justify the premium once profits flip.

Debt's low, almost zero, debt-to-equity at 0. ROE sucks at -255%—yeah, negative equity returns from losses. No dividend yield yet; they're burning cash for growth. Q3 FY26 revenue exploded 54% YoY to ₹6,148 crore, but net loss widened to ₹1,065 crore on expansion spends. Food delivery GOV up 20.5% YoY, margins inching to 7.6% contribution. Cash flow? Free cash positive hints in some reports, but they're investing heavy in dark stores.
Profits? Still growing losses YoY, not profits—though EBITDA loss narrowed a bit QoQ. Like a young athlete bulking up, costs hurt now but strength comes later.

Who Started This Ride?

Three Bangalore guys: Sriharsha Majety, Nandan Reddy, Rahul Jaimini. Back in 2013, they tinkered with Bundl, a shipping site. Flopped. Pivoted to food delivery in 2014 as Swiggy. Smart move—went from zero orders to millions.IPO hit Nov 2024 at ₹390/share, valuing at $11.3B. Laid off 6% staff pre-listing, sold kitchens biz. Tough calls, but they're scaling.

How They Make MoneyCore? 

Food delivery from 2.6 lakh restaurants in 720 cities. Commissions, delivery fees, ads. Then Instamart—quick commerce rocket. Groceries, snacks in 10-15 mins via dark stores (mini-warehouses everywhere). 
Genie for porters too. Revenue mix: food still king, but QC growing fastest, 54% top-line jump partly from there. AI routes riders, predicts demand—like Amazon but hyper-local, Indian style. Real-life win: late-night cravings sorted, no more midnight store runs.

What's Next? Price GuessesAnalysts peg 1-year target ₹485, max ₹740. For 2026, predictions say ₹663-₹1,223—20%+ rally easy if margins hit 4.5-5% EBITDA. Long haul? 2030: ₹1,270-₹1,510. 2035? No firm calls, but scaling QC could push higher. 2040: Wild guess ₹3,260-₹3,675 if they grab market share like Zomato did. Doubts? Competition from Blinkit, losses linger. But low debt, 20%+ GOV growth? Bullish.





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