Showing posts with label SBI share price. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SBI share price. Show all posts

Monday, February 2, 2026

SBI Cards And Payment Services Hits 52-Week Low at ₹725: Time to Buy or Stay Away?

SBI Cards And Payment Services just hit a 52-week low at ₹725. Ouch, right? If you're eyeing it as a buy or wondering if it's time to steer clear, let's break it down simply.

Why the Price Drop?

The stock slid to ₹726.6 recently, down 3.4% in a day and 4.65% over three days. Blame flat quarterly results, high debt worries, and NBFC sector blues—down 2.82% too. It's under all moving averages, screaming bearish vibes. Even with Q3 profit up 45% YoY to ₹557 crore, annual profits dipped, spooking folks.

Market cap sits at ₹70,165 crore now, with price around ₹737. P/E is 33.6, higher than peers like Bajaj Finance at 30.7 or Shriram at 20.5—industry median around 19. NBFC average? About 30-100, but SBI Cards looks pricey here.

Key Numbers Check:

Cash flow? Operating was negative lately, like -₹2,140 crore last year—common for lenders growing loans fast. Debt's huge, borrowings at ₹44,947 crore end FY25. Debt-to-equity? Around 3.3x, or 332%—high, but NBFCs borrow to lend.

Dividend yield's a measly 0.34%, payout low at 12%. ROE is solid 14.8%, ROCE 10.4%. Profit growth? Q3 YoY +45%, but FY25 net profit fell to ₹1,916 crore from prior, TTM growth just 2% compounded. Mixed bag, huh? Like a friend who earns well but spends too much.

Born 1998 as JV between State Bank of India (big daddy) and GE Capital. HQ in Gurgaon. SBI bought out GE in 2017 with Carlyle help. Listed 2020 as first pure credit card play. Grew cards-in-force to 2.18 crore now.

How They Make Money?

Business? Issue credit cards, earn from interest on unpaid balances (big chunk), fees, merchant discounts. Products: SimplyCLICK for shoppers, AURUM for rich folks, co-branded with IRCTC or BPCL. Retail spends up 8% YoY to ₹92k crore, corporate 14%. Digital push for millennials. 18% market share. They lend your spending power, pocket the cut. Smart, if defaults stay low.

Numbers show strength—ROE decent, Q3 profit jump—but debt scares me, P/E stretched, stock down 11% yearly. At ₹725, trading 4.7x book value (₹155). If economy booms, cards fly. But recessions? Defaults spike. I'd watch asset quality, next results. Not rushing in yet.

Price guesses? Analysts vary. 2026: maybe ₹1,400 high end. 2030: ₹3,400-4,300. Longer? Wild—2035 could double that if growth holds, 2040 ₹10k+? Pure speculation, like betting on rain in Delhi monsoon. Do your homework, friend.


Thursday, January 22, 2026

SBI Hits Historic ₹1,055 High: What It Means for Your Portfolio?

SBI just smashed through ₹1,055 – a real record high. It's got retail investors like us buzzing, especially if you've got some shares tucked away.

Why the Surge Now?

Strong quarterly numbers kicked it off. Net profit hit ₹18,643 crore in Q4 FY25, up nicely from last year, with operating profit jumping 8.83% YoY. Leadership staying steady helped too – no big shake-ups there. Market loves that reliability. Plus, the whole banking sector's heating up with loan growth, and SBI's outpacing the pack at 13-14% for FY26. Wonder if this rally sticks, right? Feels like India's economy finally breathing easy.

Key Numbers at a Glance:

SBI's market cap sits around ₹9.5 lakh crore – massive, like owning a chunk of the nation's wallet. P/E ratio? About 12.1, cheaper than the banking industry's average of 12.6, so not overpriced yet. ROE is solid at 17-19%, beating many peers, and dividend yield hovers at 1.5-2% – nice passive income if you're holding long.

Debt to equity?

Around 13.5x for banks like this, but it's dropping, showing better balance. Profit growth? A whopping 36% CAGR over 5 years – that's no joke. Cash flow from operations was positive ₹48,486 crore last year, funding more loans without sweating. YoY profit up 16% to ₹70,901 crore FY25.

started way back in 1806 as Bank of Calcutta, evolved into presidency banks, merged into Imperial Bank in 1921. Government nationalized it in 1955, birthing SBI to push rural banking and growth. Over 200 years old now, with 22,000+ branches. Kinda like that old family shop that grew into a chain.

How SBI Makes Money?

Simple: lends your deposits and pockets the interest spread. Retail loans, home loans, SME stuff – that's the bread and butter. Corporate banking, insurance via subs, even international arms in 35 countries. YONO app's a hit, 75 million users doing digital magic. Net interest margin around 2.6%, plus fees from everything else. Think of it as renting out money – safe, steady if NPAs stay low (now under 2%).

What for Your Portfolio?

If you're a beginner trader, this high screams momentum – maybe ride it short-term, but watch for pullbacks. Retail folks? Hold if diversified; that dividend's like free tea money. ROE and growth say it's healthy, not bubbly. But banks hate rate hikes, so RBI moves matter. Real-life bit: My buddy loaded up at ₹700 last year, grinning now. Yours truly? Sitting on a small stake, sleeping better.

Analysts eye ₹1,191 by end-2026 – doable with economy chugging. 2030? ₹2,011-2,430, if profits keep compounding. Stretch to 2035, maybe double that on India boom. 2040? Wild guess ₹3,940-4,302, but who knows – pandemics, elections flip scripts. Not advice, just chatter. Track earnings, yeah?

Sunday, November 16, 2025

SBI Gold Direct Plan Growth Unlocking Wealth: A Comprehensive Guide to SBI Gold Mutual. एसबीआई गोल्ड डायरेक्ट प्लान ग्रोथ धन सृजन का रहस्य: एसबीआई गोल्ड म्यूचुअल फंड का व्यापक मार्गदर्शन.

SBI Gold Direct Plan Growth is a mutual fund scheme launched by SBI Mutual Fund on January 1, 2013. It primarily invests in gold-related instruments and aims to provide returns that closely correspond to those of gold prices in the domestic market. The fund operates as a direct plan with no intermediaries, offering investors a cost-efficient way to gain exposure to gold. Its fund manager, Mr. Raviprakash Sharma, has been managing the fund since August 2011, bringing experience and stability to the scheme's management. As of November 2025, the fund has assets under management (AUM) of approximately ₹8456.78 crore and an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is relatively low compared to other commodity funds, reflecting efficient cost management.

The growth history of SBI Gold Direct Plan has been strong over the years. Since inception, the fund has delivered a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 10.37%. Its performance over shorter periods highlights its potential; for example, a 3-year CAGR of about 32.17% and a 5-year CAGR of approximately 17.89%. The fund's Net Asset Value (NAV) as of mid-November 2025 stands around ₹38.29. The fund's returns have outperformed many benchmarks and peers, particularly benefiting investors looking to hedge against inflation and diversify their portfolios with a commodity-linked asset.

Other key details include the fund's risk profile, categorized as very high due to the volatility in gold prices. The fund is benchmarked against the domestic price of gold, ensuring transparent tracking of gold price movements. SBI Gold Direct Plan invests majorly in the SBI Gold ETF, ensuring that portfolio composition remains closely tied to actual gold holdings or related derivatives. The fund also has certain exit load and stamp duty applicable, such as a minimal stamp duty of 0.005% effective from July 2020.

Looking ahead, based on past performance trends and general market expectations of gold prices influenced by global economic factors, geopolitical risks, and inflation trends, predicted NAVs could be estimated approximately as follows:By 2030: Around ₹61-65By 2035: Around ₹90-95By 2040: Around ₹130-140
These predictions are indicative, assuming a steady gold price appreciation averaging around 8-10% annually over the coming years.

In Hindi- 

एसबीआई गोल्ड डायरेक्ट प्लान ग्रोथ, जिसे एसबीआई म्यूचुअल फंड ने 2013 में लॉन्च किया था, एक कमोडिटी म्यूचुअल फंड योजना है जो निवेशकों को सोने में निवेश करने का अवसर प्रदान करती है। इस फंड का प्रबंधन रविप्रकाश शर्मा द्वारा 2011 से किया जा रहा है। यह फंड मुख्यतः एसबीआई गोल्ड ईटीएफ में निवेश करता है और घरेलू सोने की कीमतों को ट्रैक करता है। इस फंड की एक्सपेंस रेशियो मात्र 0.10% है, जो इसे निवेशकों के लिए किफायती बनाती है।

फंड के विकास का इतिहास स्थिर और प्रभावशाली रिटर्न दिखाता है। इसके लॉन्च के बाद से, इसने लगभग 256% की वृद्धि की है और इसका कंपाउंडेड वार्षिक विकास दर (CAGR) लगभग 10.37% है। हाल के वर्षों में, निवेशकों को 3 वर्ष और 5 वर्ष के अनुसार क्रमशः 32.17% और 17.89% की उच्च दैनिक विकास दर देखने को मिली है, जो सोने की कीमतों के तेजी से बढ़ने को दर्शाती है। नवंबर 2025 में इसका NAV ₹38.29 के करीब है, जो इसे व्यापक निवेशकों के लिए सुलभ बनाता है।

एसबीआई गोल्ड डायरेक्ट प्लान की परिसंपत्ति संरचना मुख्य रूप से सोने से संबंधित उपकरणों में होती है, विशेष रूप से गोल्ड ईटीएफ में, जिससे फंड का प्रदर्शन सीधे सोने की कीमतों से जुड़ा रहता है। फंड का जोखिम स्तर उच्च वर्ग में आता है, जो उन निवेशकों के लिए उपयुक्त है जिनका जोखिम उठाने का आँक उच्च है और जो पारंपरिक इक्विटी और डेट के बाहर विविधीकरण चाहते हैं।

इस फंड की खासियत है इसकी कम एक्सपेंस रेशियो, जो सोना से जुड़े अन्य फंड के मुकाबले काफी कम है, जिससे निवेशकों को अधिक लाभ मिलता है। जुलाई 2020 से इस पर 0.005% का स्टैम्प ड्यूटी लगा है और छोटी अवधि की ट्रेडिंग को रोकने के लिए निकासी शुल्क (एक्जिट लोड) भी लागू है।

भविष्य की दृष्टि से, ऐतिहासिक प्रदर्शन और सोने की कीमतों के अनुमान के आधार पर, एसबीआई गोल्ड डायरेक्ट प्लान का NAV 2030 तक ₹61-65, 2035 तक ₹90-95 और 2040 तक ₹130-140 तक बढ़ने का अनुमान है। यह अनुमान वैश्विक आर्थिक अनिश्चितताओं, मुद्रास्फीति के दबाव और भू-राजनीतिक स्थिति को ध्यान में रखकर बनाया गया है, जो लंबे समय तक सोने के बढ़ते मूल्य का समर्थन करते हैं।

(Just for education purpose and not a recommendation)