Showing posts with label IIFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IIFL. Show all posts

Monday, January 5, 2026

IIFL Securities (IIFLSEC) Delivers Powerful 3-Month Breakout: Buy, Sale or Hold?

Have you noticed IIFL Securities, or IIFLSEC as we traders call it, smashing through its recent highs? Over the last three months, the stock jumped around 30-31%, breaking out like a bull from a pen – think of it as finally shaking off that sideways rut. Current price hovers near ₹378-₹389, after touching a 52-week high of ₹391. Volumes spiked too, hinting buyers are piling in, but is this the real deal or just hype?

Market cap sits comfy at ₹11,763-₹12,059 Cr – mid-sized in broking world. P/E ratio? About 16.8-20.6, cheaper than industry average of 22.75, so not overpriced like some flashy peers. ROE shines at 28-32%, ROCE 33%, showing they squeeze good returns from money – better than many banks your uncle trusts blindly. Debt to equity is low at 0.37, cash flow positive with operating cash up massively YoY (think 840% in recent years). Dividend yield? A nice 0.78-0.79%, pays out steadily around 22%. Profit growth? Solid 35% CAGR over 5 years, though latest Q3FY25 PAT dipped QoQ but up 31% YoY to ₹197 Cr.

Started in 1995 by Nirmal Jain, IIM-A grad and CA – guy saw India's markets waking up and jumped in with research first. No fancy silver spoon; he built from scratch as India Infoline Group. Expanded to broking, went public later. R. Venkataraman now MD, keeping the family vibe. From research desk to full brokerage powerhouse by 2000s, adding wealth management amid booms and busts. Survived 2008 crash, listed on NSE/BSE – resilient like that old scooter that never quits.

Retail broking (your demat buys/sells), institutional equities for big FIIs, commodities, currency trading, plus investment banking and wealth advice. Distribute mutual funds, IPOs too – basically, your one-stop for trading masala. Revenue from fees, not lending risks, so steady in volatile times. Q3 income up 11% YoY despite dips elsewhere.

Short-term, that 3-month breakout screams buy if it holds ₹375 support – could test ₹450 soon, but watch volatility; dropped 27% from all-time high once. For 2026, analysts eye ₹550-₹860 end-year if bull run continues. Longer haul: 2030 maybe ₹1,400-₹5,000? Optimistic sites say so, banking on India's growth. 2035? ₹2,000+, 2040 even wilder at multi-baggers if ROE stays fat. But these are my wildest guesses and do not trust them blindly.