Blame it on gas prices and supply hiccups. The company slashed excess natural gas rates for industrial buyers from ₹119.90 to ₹82.95 per SCM starting March 16, 2026. Sounds good, right? But upstream suppliers cut volumes due to West Asia tensions, forcing reliance on pricier LNG. Add Henry Hub spikes and rupee woes – boom, stock tanks. Domestic PNG and CNG prices held steady, though, since 70% of supply goes there.
Numbers Check: Strong or Shaky?
Market cap sits at ₹56,000-₹66,000 crore. P/E ratio? High at 90-106x, way above industry median of 17x (peers like Indraprastha Gas at 17x). Screams overvalued, but growth stocks gonna growth.Debt to equity is decent at 0.41-0.44 – not scary for infra plays. Dividend yield? Tiny, under 0.03%. ROE? Solid from profits, though exact latest is fuzzy; peers envy their margins. Cash flow? Operating steady, funding expansions. Q3 FY26 PAT up 10% YoY to ₹157 Cr, revenue +17%. 9M FY26 sales volume +14% YoY. Profit growth mixed – PAT flat-ish annually but quarterly pops.
Born 2004 as Adani-TotalEnergies JV – 50:50 split. Gautam Adani's group brings infra muscle; Total adds gas smarts. Started city gas in 2005, hit 10 areas by 2010, 5 lakh homes by 2015. Now in 53 areas, 125 districts. Rebranded post-2020 partnership.
What They Do?
Piped natural gas (PNG) to homes and factories. CNG stations for autos – now 680 standalone, 1,120 with JVs. Expanding to EV chargers (4,900+ points), compressed biogas (CBG). Industrial bulk supply too. Revenue from volumes, connections, margins on procurement vs sales. Like plumbing clean fuel to cities – steady cash if volumes grow. 10.5 lakh PNG homes now, up 34k in Q3 alone. EV push? Smart, with India's e-boom.
Price Outlook: Buy Dip?
Predictions vary – analysts see ₹530-₹590 by end-2026, climbing to ₹610-₹780 by 2030 on 10-12% EPS growth, P/E drop to 40x. Longer haul: Some optimistic at ₹3,100 by 2035, ₹4,900+ by 2040 if green gas booms.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Blog kaisa laga, please likh kar bataye ♥️